{"id":1855,"date":"2016-12-10T05:55:00","date_gmt":"2016-12-10T05:55:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/?p=1855"},"modified":"2025-09-28T00:41:26","modified_gmt":"2025-09-28T00:41:26","slug":"one-man-in-hillarys-campaign-warned-she-could-lose-and-everybody-ignored-him","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/?p=1855","title":{"rendered":"“One Man In Hillary\u2019s Campaign Warned She Could Lose, And Everybody Ignored Him”"},"content":{"rendered":"

Hubris<\/a> – "Pride goes before the fall". It's a good short article<\/p>\n

In the last days of the campaign, Clinton was the overwhelming favorite according to most experts. Polls showed her with a consistent lead in key states, and several advanced forecasters regarded her chances of victory as 90 percent or more. Even FiveThirtyEight, the most pessimistic major forecaster, said Clinton\u2019s chances were greater than 70 percent.<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cJake Sullivan, Clinton\u2019s policy director\u2014a brainy and nervous former State Department aide who took on an increasingly important political role as the campaign ground on\u2014was the only one in Clinton\u2019s inner circle who kept saying she would likely lose, despite the sanguine polling,\u201d Thrush says, citing Sullivan\u2019s friends. \u201cHe was also the only one of the dozen aides who dialed in for Clinton\u2019s daily scheduling call who kept on asking if it wasn\u2019t a good idea for her to spend more time in the Midwestern swing states in the closing days of the campaign.\u201d<\/p>\n

But the rest of Clinton\u2019s campaign ignored Sullivan, with his warnings being dismissed so quickly, they weren\u2019t even substantively considered.<\/p>\n

\u201cThey spent far more time debating whether or not Clinton should visit Texas and Arizona, two states they knew she had little chance of winning, in order to get good press,\u201d Thrush says. Just a week before Election Day, Clinton made a campaign stop<\/a> in Tempe, Arizona.<\/p>\n

The end result was that Clinton\u2019s campaign went into the final days utterly convinced the race was in the bag and Trump had no shot.<\/p>\n

I've read elsewhere that Bil Clinton also wanted the campaign to spend more time in the Midwest but was ignored.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Hubris – "Pride goes before the fall". It's a good short article In the last days of the campaign, Clinton was the overwhelming favorite according to most experts. Polls showed her with a consistent lead in key states, and several advanced forecasters regarded her chances of victory as 90 percent or more. Even FiveThirtyEight, the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1855","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1855","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1855"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1855\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5044,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1855\/revisions\/5044"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1855"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1855"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1855"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}