{"id":2828,"date":"2012-11-07T10:53:28","date_gmt":"2012-11-07T10:53:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/?p=2828"},"modified":"2025-09-28T19:24:30","modified_gmt":"2025-09-28T19:24:30","slug":"so-my-election-call-missed-the-boat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/?p=2828","title":{"rendered":"So, my election call missed the boat."},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>UPDATE:<\/strong><\/span> No figuring this &#8211; Romney received 2 million fewer votes than McCain did in 2008 &amp; Obama received 10 million less. Just heard that on the radio.<\/em><\/p>\n<p>Yup. As Dick Cheney would say, my miss was &quot;Big Time&quot;.<\/p>\n<p>Yesterday I posted here <a href=\"http:\/\/tomfaranda.typepad.com\/folly\/2012\/11\/how-i-think-the-election-will-turn-out.html\" target=\"_self\">How I think the election will turn out<\/a> that I thought Romney would get 52% of the popular vote and gave my perfectly reasonable rationale. The reality is that Obama has 50% of the popular vote, and Romney 48, with Obama winning almost all the swing states by small margins. <\/p>\n<p>To quote Kurt Vonnegut (<a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Slaughterhouse-Five\" target=\"_self\">Slaughterhouse-Five<\/a>) &quot;So it goes.&quot;<\/p>\n<p>CNN has the very fascinating exit polling in simple graphic form here &#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnn.com\/election\/2012\/results\/race\/president?hpt=elec_racenav\" target=\"_self\">President: Full Results<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I think this is an even more profound election than the 2008 race, because it should be clear to anyone with a brain, the trajectory that Obama wants to take the Country on, both socially and economically. And evidently half the Country agrees with it, or is at least willing to accept it.<\/p>\n<p>Here&#39;s the other posting I put up yesterday which will come true &#8211; <a href=\"http:\/\/tomfaranda.typepad.com\/folly\/2012\/11\/the-best-and-only-reason-for-hoping-obama-wins-.html\" target=\"_self\">The best and only reason for hoping Obama wins <\/a><\/p>\n<p>Of course, it&#39;s also worth recalling two Churchill quotes:<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">1) &quot;Democracy is a bad form of government, it&#39;s just that all the other ones are worse.&quot;<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">And<\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px;\">2) &quot;The best argument against Democracy is a five minute conversation with the average voter.&quot;<\/p>\n<p>Nancy, you were right. And the Supreme Court! Ugh and Ugh!!<\/p>\n<p>&#0160;<\/p>\n<p>&#0160;<\/p>\n<p>&#0160;<\/p>\n<p>&#0160;<\/p>\n<p>&#0160;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>UPDATE: No figuring this &#8211; Romney received 2 million fewer votes than McCain did in 2008 &amp; Obama received 10 million less. Just heard that on the radio. Yup. As Dick Cheney would say, my miss was &quot;Big Time&quot;. Yesterday I posted here How I think the election will turn out that I thought Romney [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2828","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2828","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2828"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2828\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8546,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2828\/revisions\/8546"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2828"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2828"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/tomfarandasfolly.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2828"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}